2019 Fantasy Equity Score Report

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2019 Fantasy Equity Score Report

9.99

C.D. Carter began making fantasy equity scores in 2014, using Rotoviz apps as a baseline for creating median and high projections for fantasy-relevant players. This exercise produces a realistic range of outcomes for players, showing who is being under-drafted or over-drafted in redraft leagues. 

This year, Carter used the Rotoviz projection machine app to explore a range of outcomes for fantasy relevant players. Carter adjusts projections based on conservative (median) and best-case (high) scenarios. This involves total touches, touchdown rate, yards per throw or catch, and a range of other measurements subject to regression. The equity piece of the equation is the gap between where a guy is being drafted and where his median and high equity scores might land him at the end of the season. A player with a negative high score is a flaming red flag, while a guy with a positive median score should pique our collective interest. This process reveals the reliable yet boring types — guys with median and high prospects sitting near each other — and boom-bust players who have median and high scores miles apart.

This year’s equity scores include 27 quarterbacks, 60 receivers, 36 running backs, and 23 tight ends. Carter has equity score write ups — further breaking down a range of outcomes — for more than 50 players.


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